90 Percent Chance Global Temperature Rise will Exceed Paris Target

A study by the University of Washington has shown that global temperatures are very likely to rise by more than 1.5 degrees, the target set by the 2016 Paris Agreement. ‘Our analysis shows that the goal of 2 degrees is very much a best-case scenario,’ said lead author Adrian Raftery. ‘It is achievable, but only with major, sustained effort on all fronts over the next 80 years. Our analysis is compatible with previous estimates, but it finds that the most optimistic projections are unlikely to happen. We’re closer to the margin than we think.’

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